The polls were wrong
Obama's stunning loss to Hillary Clinton by more than 6,000 votes in New Hampshire is being blamed on polling deficiencies. And more specifically, according to David Kuo at Huffington Post, on "race-gap polling."
Kuo never really explains what that is, but put simply, it is a recognized phenomenon in which some people don't want to admit they won't vote for a black candidate. They feel embarassed to confess that, even in a semi-anonymous conversation with a pollster. So they give a false answer, and that skews the poll results.
Whatever the reason, Clinton's campaign is now re-energized and Obama knows what it is to lose. Even so, Clinton's victory wasn't numerically overwhelming. She got 39 percent to 36 percent for Obama and 17 percent for John Edwards. On the Republican side, John McCain dealt a serious blow to Mitt Romney, winning by a bigger margin than Clinton over Obama, and showed that Mike Huckabee apparently can't do well in states without large populations of evangelical voters, like Iowa.
Kos has the primary schedule through Super Tuesday on Feb. 5.